MALTHUS AND THE MATHEMATICS OF POPULATION.
AUSTRALIA POST-WAR AND BEYOND

Christabel Young, Demography, Research School of Social Sciences, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200


Figure 1

COMPARISON OF PROPORTIONS OF WOMEN MARRIED
AT AGE 20-24 YEARS AND THEIR AVERAGE COMPLETED FAMILY SIZE.
COHORTS OF WOMEN BORN 1832-36 TO 1972-76

Figure 1


Figure 2

TIMING OF DEMOGRAPHIC EVENTS DURING THE LIFE
CYCLE OF SUCCESSIVE COHORTS OF WOMEN IN AUSTRALIA

Figure 2
Source: C. Young (1989) Life cycle experience in the labour force’, Chapter 7 in David Pope and Lee Alston (eds) Australia’s Greatest Asset. Human Resources in the Nineteenth and Twentieth Centuries, The Federation Press, Sydney.


Figure 3

FEMALE LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATES
BY COHORT BIRTH YEAR

Figure 3


Figure 4

COMPARISON OF AVERAGE NUMBER OF CHILDREN BORN TO ALL
MARRIAGES WITH AVERAGE PERSON-YEARS IN THE LABOUR FORCE.
COHORTS OF WOMEN

Figure 4


Figure 5

TOTAL DEPENDENCY RATIO (PERSONS AGED 0-14 OR 65+ YEARS
AS A RATIO OF THOSE AGED 15-64 YEARS) 1861 TO 2051

Figure 5


Figure 6

MODIFIED LABOUR-FORCE DEPENDENCY RATIO (LFDR),
ASSUMING THAT A PERSON AGED 65+ YEARS NOT IN THE LABOUR FORCE
IS TWICE THE COST OF OTHERS NOT IN THE LABOUR FORCE

Figure 6


Figure 7

PROJECTIONS OF THE POPULATION OF AUSTRALIA TO 2051
ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT LEVELS OF ANNUAL NET MIGRATION

Figure 7